We ran the prediction for every US state: "Will the state legislature pass permitting reform in the next 12 months?" To qualify, the future reform must: (1) apply to energy projects, (2) make the process either easier, faster, or cheaper for developers, and (3) become passed into law.

Hover over a state to see the prediction:

Each prediction is informed by a deep-dive by our automated research system. We have rigorously tested our system across a wide range of questions. Its accuracy is now close to the level of a pro human forecaster, despite being orders of magnitude faster and more scaleable.

We can re-run the forecasts on a regular basis and send updates to the user.